Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 284.695653 322.015154 363.545472 413.398423 471.891769 538.680322 621.187405
2025-06-08 224.555858 272.108204 329.756963 405.601347 503.967253 628.919833 802.409138
2025-06-15 194.416225 246.348733 312.953816 406.185938 535.842487 713.672925 983.087173
2025-06-22 169.793754 222.548851 293.184974 396.959570 549.534120 772.326371 1135.546295
2025-06-29 153.414121 206.977836 281.407667 395.490076 571.756114 844.256929 1320.031194
2025-07-06 135.946287 187.602081 261.507460 378.682269 567.156240 872.571198 1437.550342
2025-07-13 129.761206 183.536836 262.982731 393.771624 613.916503 990.469616 1735.992894
2025-07-20 124.878438 180.723207 265.738118 410.775357 665.804394 1125.754387 2100.619610
2025-07-27 117.424557 173.165271 260.152243 413.046418 692.036675 1218.715140 2404.171361
2025-08-03 108.412358 162.325910 248.173050 402.799694 693.756062 1264.543770 2617.288688
2025-08-10 100.970551 153.365456 238.399191 395.176917 699.049681 1317.969465 2861.961568
2025-08-17 97.793503 151.065940 239.493262 407.130310 743.869734 1461.947339 3371.704828
2025-08-24 92.429154 144.840482 233.527792 405.740098 762.611239 1555.145312 3788.374576
2025-08-31 86.532962 137.291491 224.627900 397.814535 766.716866 1616.286049 4139.921175
2025-09-07 82.473894 132.587735 220.366076 398.406453 789.159284 1725.774022 4677.700383
2025-09-14 77.458471 125.842927 211.812294 389.394161 788.755213 1778.119300 5055.460095
2025-09-21 73.886635 121.418291 207.196139 387.958990 805.567189 1879.012418 5642.263029
2025-09-28 68.729446 113.804169 195.996266 371.540608 784.541381 1873.232728 5843.182267
2025-10-05 67.734045 113.720609 199.183325 386.280519 841.614318 2100.198718 7050.006699
2025-10-12 66.958664 113.976297 203.026507 402.886899 906.330250 2367.871846 8596.563374
2025-10-19 64.662839 111.206024 200.619638 405.104608 933.929801 2528.655529 9772.683437
2025-10-26 61.282351 106.160504 193.247835 395.098080 927.060789 2576.125013 10428.916127
2025-11-02 58.388844 101.898627 187.202545 387.653115 926.322769 2644.869669 11247.933866